The Coronavirus Animation
One of our most popular articles is this one explaining the dynamics of the virus in non-mathematical terms. Now we have gone one better with this animation. Click here to […]
Is Lockdown Working?
We have now (15/4/2020) been in lockdown for just over three weeks. Because of the natural dynamics of the virus, we should not have expected to see clear evidence of […]
First thoughts on How to End Lockdown Safely
There are already many calls to unlock the economy quickly. And it is clear that these are dangerous. But economic damage from the lockdown is huge and the alternative is […]
Understanding the Coronavirus
If mathematicians have one tiny fault – a point which I am not ready to concede – it is that they are entirely unintelligible. If you ask a mathematician to […]
Austerity: Why We Shouldn’t Watch the Sequel
We have nothing to fear but fear itself. Franklin D Roosevelt, Inaugural Address. We recently set out a three-point plan for Mr Johnson in which the first stage is […]
Are We Nearly There Yet?
Until the Imperial College Covid-19 Group published their report last Monday, the strategy of the government was laissez-faire. The government’s Chief Scientific Adviser explained that this was in order to […]
Two Options for Self-Isolation
A Three-Point Plan for Economic Recovery
Any general who goes into battle without a plan is doomed to fail. Any general who sticks to his plan is doomed to fail. Attributed to Napoleon In its […]
The Great Anglo-Saxon Health Experiment
All models are wrong, but some are useful. George Pelham Box The US and the UK are both in the process of reviewing their strategies in response to the […]
The Great British Health Experiment
All models are wrong, but some are useful. George Pelham Box This is an update on the previous post about the virus. It is based on a slightly more sophisticated […]